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Comments • About price prediction/When to buy

  • 26 comments
  • 2pt
    If you really like the character/figure, buy it on preorder release date from AmiAmi (if they carry it), you will most likely not find it anywhere else for cheaper unless its after release from somebody else who may have changed their mind.
    6 months ago
    3pt
    WanderingWastrel (6 months ago) #21267028Price changes are unpredictable. Some figures' prices go up after release, and some go down. Many figures' prices change gradually over time, either up or down -- but others gyrate wildly up and down. You don't know what a price is going to be in the future.
    So the rule I use for a figure or item that I want is:
    if money_available > current_price then buy it oh god buy it before someone else gets it hurry hurry click the button click the damn button and buy it!
    But that's just me.

    Hahaha! My mind runs exactly on the same "if-then" conditional. As long as it's something I really like, I always PO it because I don't want to regret later. Like the others have pointed out, the aftermarket prices can be really unpredictable while prices of popular items can skyrocket. I came to this hobby very late and have had to shell out a pretty penny for back-catalogue items like
    ITEM #78599
    ITEM #78598
    ITEM #198393
    6 months ago
    3pt
    Depends on the series, character or figure line. Sometimes there are trends where a certain character or series or line will almost always rise in the aftermarket, I often look at that to see if it's worth making a preorder or if it's safe to wait for the aftermarket.

    Sometimes I regret it, sometimes I save money. Pre-ordering out of fear will often make you lose money so I'm pretty selective but sometimes I do wish I went for the pre-order. There's no way to tell for sure.
    6 months ago
    3pt
    The market is hard to predict and it'll save you the headache of hunting down figures and going through proxies later so PO is usually the best bet. If you're unsure or have financial constraints then by all means, wait until or after release

    And just my 2cents but if I adore the character/show/game and want to support the original content then I do so by PO-ing the figures. And will also send a message to the company that this show/line is well received (eg more male figures) and hopefully they'll produce more in the future.
    6 months ago
    4pt
    In my experience, it can be really hard to tell a lot of the time.
    I've seen people mention how they're sure a certain figure will rise/drop in price after release and then the opposite happens. Sometimes even if a figure does go down in price, if you wait too long to buy it, the figure will then suddenly surge up in price as demand slowly overtakes supply and it's almost impossible to predict that timing.

    I think most of the advice down below is pretty solid. If you really want something and *you* think it is worth it, pre-order it.
    6 months ago
    4pt
    If I really want something, and I'm OKAY with the retail/pre-order price, then I pre-order. This doesn't mean I'm begrudgingly accepting the price, it means I feel like the figure is WORTH what I'll be paying.

    If I don't feel like a figure is worth what I'm pre-ordering it at, I wait until after release to see if the price goes down to something I feel is worth it, either via getting it pre-owned or from the price bargain binning.

    Whether it's pre-ordering or waiting, you should only ever pay what you feel like something is worth. Remember, you can't take that money back. Selling figures is almost ALWAYS at a loss.

    Finally, I try to only pre-order stuff that I really, truly want. Some of these pre-order windows are MASSIVE! I saw one recently over 8 months out. It doesn't hurt to wait a couple months and see if you still want it then.
    6 months ago
    6pt
    Price changes are unpredictable. Some figures' prices go up after release, and some go down. Many figures' prices change gradually over time, either up or down -- but others gyrate wildly up and down. You don't know what a price is going to be in the future.

    So the rule I use for a figure or item that I want is:
    if money_available > current_price then buy it oh god buy it before someone else gets it hurry hurry click the button click the damn button and buy it!

    But that's just me.
    6 months ago
    3pt
    First, unless you are having financial problems, it's best to get the figures you really, desperately want on preorder. That way, even if the price rises or lowers, at least you have something you want.

    As for other figures, there's no exact science as to what will tank. Usually if a series is extremely popular, there might be too much stock, thus lowering the price. This depends on the individual company's practices though.

    For some series, there may be few options for figures. This can indicate if a figure will rise in price like the aforementioned Yato. Another indicator of high aftermarket prices is if the preorders for a figure close too early.

    I already mentioned that certain companies have their own unique practices. To give an example, I'm a fan of Medicos' SAS line, but the prices for the figures have become pretty steep and the accessories lacking in recent years. I'm usually hesitant to buy the first color way of a figure if I'm not in love with it because they'll eventually make a second color way and those never get rereleased unlike the first version. Not to mention that the Jojo figures skyrocket after a certain part of the anime starts airing.

    By contrast, I've grown fond of the Cu-poche line and Kotobukiya has been pretty good about rereleasing accessories and figures from that line. So I can afford to wait on some figures there.

    It's good to be observant this early in collecting. Best of luck to you!
    6 months ago
    3pt
    If I fear something is going to skyrocket, I preorder. If It's something I have to have I preorder for my own sanity.

    If I think meh..not a must-have I'll save the budget money for something else that might pop up and possibly buy it from like AmiAmi or a seller on here later.

    Since I got into this late I now have the "pleasure" of doing a lot of hunting and fearing if I don't leap at a "decent" option I will miss out.
    6 months ago
    7pt
    maggie (6 months ago) #21264865Why wouldn't Yato have risen in price? Makes sense to me, that series doesn't get much love in the figure department. People really bellyached when that figure was revealed due to not liking the sculpt and I remember reading a lot of 'pole up the butt' comments but I've seen enough figures like that shoot up in price simply because there isn't another option. Terrible sculpts, but it's all you get, it's either that or nothing. :-/ I've seen figures scrape the bargain bin and just sit forever... finally to sell out. 4 years later, the figure sells for 10x the initial value.
    I wasn't surprised by the fact that he went up in price, I just didn't think he would go up so much is all.

    I was surprised to see him going for $400-$600.
    6 months ago
  • 26 comments
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