I managed to go to my first out of state convention at AX 2015 and was under a God Eater craze. Managed to find Item #175846 hidden well out of plain sight and paid $150 for the listed price plus $50 to ship it back to my place. I cross referenced Ciel with the MFC entry and was shocked to find she was already jumping to $250 new. It got to the point that she was selling for more than what I paid used.
Price speculation aside, she might be the most impressive God Eater figurine. The sculpt is fantastic combined with her God Arc in Predator form. There is no reason to alternate to blade form. So I'd say I spent my $200 well for a non pre order.